Note: If the table is not loading correctly on your mobile device via Twitter, then copy and paste this link in your browser and view the post on my site at https://hoopsdistillery.com/mock-draft-comp-jan22/
January 30 update: Fresh 1st round mock draft from Jonathan Givony/ESPN and top 15 picks from Chad Ford/NBA Big Board–both of which include Shaedon Sharpe.
January 13 update: New picks added from Jeremy Woo/Sports Illustrated and Tankathon.com.
Happy New Year to everyone–here’s to a healthy, non-mask wearing 2022, without players in health and safety protocols or game cancellations!
A fresh round of mock drafts were released last week from Bleacher Report/Jonathan Wasserman, The Athletic/Sam Vecenie, and Bryan Kalbrosky/USA Today, so I wanted to create a new post that helped us compare and analyze all of them. Although the picks have changed a good amount since mid-to-late December, I opted to leave the 12/22 ESPN picks from Jonathan Givony until they post an updated version.
Big movers included Wisconsin’s Johnny Davis, who was amazing in a few games, most notably in a big W against Purdue, in which he went head to head with (consensus #4 pick (for the time being) and fellow top SG prospect) Jaden Ivey. Tari Eason from LSU and Keegan Murray from Iowa are also on the rise, while hype seems to have cooled off a bit on Trevor Keels and Jaden Hardy after some subpar performances. Newcomers to the 1st round, for us to keep an eye on, include Blake Wesley from Notre Dame and Jeremy Sochan from Baylor.
In case you missed my last #mockdraftcomp, I’ve added a new sortable chart showing the pick variance for the top prospects across the mock drafts, to save everyone a bit of time. And as you’ll see the overall variance has decreased quite a bit in just a month’s time. Some of the numbers are thrown off a bit by the aforementioned ESPN picks, as Johnny Davis, for example, was #16 way back, two weeks ago–a level he will most likely never go back to unless he steal laptops, borrows money from Penny Hardaway, and/or has a couple of DUIs next month.
There will be more mock drafts posted in the coming weeks, so make sure to check back for updates and follow me at @hoopsdistillery on Twitter for update notifications. If I’m missing any mocks that you feel belong alongside the ‘All-NBA level’ draft analysts I currently include, leave a comment or DM me on Twitter.
ESPN (1/26) | NBA Big Board (1/21) | Tankathon (1/15) | SI (1/13) | The Athletic (1/6) | USA Today (1/6) | B/R (1/5) |
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1. ORL | Chet Holmgren | 1. ORL | Jabari Smith | 1. ORL | Jabari Smith | 1. ORL | Jabari Smith | 1. DET | Jabari Smith | 1. DET | Jabari Smith | 1. DET | Paolo Banchero |
2. DET | Paolo Banchero | 2. DET | Jaden Ivey | 2. DET | Chet Holmgren | 2. DET | Paolo Banchero | 2. ORL | Paolo Banchero | 2. ORL | Chet Holmgren | 2. ORL | Jabari Smith |
3. HOU | Jabari Smith | 3. OKC | Paolo Banchero | 3. HOU | Paolo Banchero | 3. HOU | Chet Holmgren | 3. HOU | Chet Holmgren | 3. HOU | Paolo Banchero | 3. HOU | Chet Holmgren |
4. OKC | Jalen Duren | 4. HOU | Chet Holmgren | 4. OKC | Jaden Ivey | 4. OKC | Johnny Davis | 4. OKC | Jaden Ivey | 4. OKC | Jaden Ivey | 4. OKC | Jaden Ivey |
5. SAC | Jaden Ivey | 5. IND | AJ Griffin | 5. IND | Bennedict Mathurin | 5. NOP | Jaden Ivey | 5. NOP | Johnny Davis | 5. NOP | Johnny Davis | 5. NOP | Johnny Davis |
6. SAS | Keegan Murray | 6. NOP | Kendall Brown | 6. SAS | Kendall Brown | 6. POR | Keegan Murray | 6. POR | Bennedict Mathurin | 6. POR | Bennedict Mathurin | 6. POR | Jalen Duren |
7. NOP | Shaedon Sharpe | 7. SAS | Jalen Duren | 7. NOP | Johnny Davis | 7. SAS | Bennedict Mathurin | 7. SAS | Jalen Duren | 7. IND | Kendall Brown | 7. IND | Bennedict Mathurin |
8. IND | Johnny Davis | 8. IND | Shaedon Sharpe | 8. POR | AJ Griffin | 8. IND | Kendall Brown | 8. IND | Kendall Brown | 8. SAS | Patrick Baldwin | 8. SAS | Keegan Murray |
9. WAS | TyTy Washington | 9. POR | Bennedict Mathurin | 9. SAC | Keegan Murray | 9. SAC | Dyson Daniels | 9. SAC | Patrick Baldwin | 9. SAC | Jalen Duren | 9. SAC | Kendall Brown |
10. ATL | Bennedict Mathurin | 10. NOP | Johnny Davis | 10. ATL | Patrick Baldwin | 10. MIN | Jalen Duren | 10. MIN | AJ Griffin | 10. MIN | Jaden Hardy | 10. MIN | AJ Griffin |
11. NYK | AJ Griffin | 11. NYK | Keegan Murray | 11. MIN | TyTy Washington | 11. ATL | Jaden Hardy | 11. ATL | TyTy Washington | 11. ATL | Jeremy Sochan | 11. ATL | TyTy Washington |
12. POR | Ochai Agbaji | 12. WAS | TyTy Washington | 12. BOS | Jalen Duren | 12. NYK | Patrick Baldwin | 12. NYK | Dyson Daniels | 12. NYK | Kennedy Chandler | 12. NYK | Patrick Baldwin |
13. MEM | Jean Montero | 13. ATL | Blake Wesley | 13. NYK | Tari Eason | 13. TOR | Blake Wesley | 13. TOR | Keegan Murray | 13. TOR | AJ Griffin | 13. TOR | Jaden Hardy |
14. TOR | MarJon Beauchamp | 14. TOR | Jaden Hardy | 14. TOR | Kennedy Chandler | 14. BOS | MarJon Beauchamp | 14. BOS | Ochai Agbaji | 14. BOS | Keegan Murray | 14. BOS | Jean Montero |
15. OKC | Patrick Baldwin | 15. OKC | Jean Montero | 15. OKC | Jean Montero | 15. WAS | Jeremy Sochan | 15. WAS | Nikola Jovic | 15. WAS | TyTy Washington | 15. MEM | Wendell Moore |
16. MIN | Dyson Daniels | 16. MEM | Jaden Hardy | 16. MEM | EJ Liddell | 16. MEM | Blake Wesley | 16. MEM | Jean Montero | 16. WAS | Kennedy Chandler |
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17. BOS | Jaden Hardy | 17. WAS | Dyson Daniels | 17. DAL | Mark Williams | 17. DAL | Jean Montero | 17. DAL | Nikola Jovic | 17. DAL | MarJon Beauchamp |
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18. CHI | Trevor Keels | 18. DEN | Jeremy Sochan | 18. CHA | Ochai Agbaji | 18. CHA | Trevor Keels | 18. CHA | Harrison Ingram | 18. CHA | Tari Eason |
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19. DEN | Kendall Brown | 19. ATL | MarJon Beauchamp | 19. OKC | Christian Koloko | 19. OKC | MarJon Beauchamp | 19. OKC | Dyson Daniels | 19. OKC | Christian Braun |
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20. ATL | JD Davison | 20. DAL | Mark Williams | 20. DEN | AJ Griffin | 20. DEN | Kennedy Chandler | 20. DEN | Walker Kessler | 20. DEN | JD Davison |
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21. HOU | Blake Wesley | 21. CLE | Wendell Moore | 21. PHI | Nikola Jovic | 21. PHI | Jaden Hardy | 21. PHI | MarJon Beauchamp | 21. PHI | Trevor Keels |
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22. DAL | Nikola Jovic | 22. PHI | JD Davison | 22. CLE | Trevor Keels | 22. CLE | Wendell Moore | 22. CLE | Tari Eason | 22. CLE | Harrison Ingram |
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23. PHI | Mark Williams | 23. MIL | Nikola Jovic | 23. HOU | Jean Montero | 23. HOU | JD Davison | 23. HOU | Wendell Moore | 23. HOU | Dyson Daniels |
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24. CLE | EJ Liddell | 24. HOU | Harrison Ingram | 24. MEM | TyTy Washington | 24. MEM | Tari Eason | 24. MEM | Julian Champagnie | 24. MEM | Nikola Jovic |
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25. MIL | Kennedy Chandler | 25. MIA | Christian Koloko | 25. MIL | JD Davison | 25. MIL | Harrison Ingram | 25. MIL | Hyungjung Lee | 25. MIL | Blake Wesley |
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26. MEM | Ousmane Dieng | 26. MEM | Ismael Kamagate | 26. MIA | Wendell Moore | 26. MIA | Mark Williams | 26. MIA | Ochai Agbaji | 26. MIA | Jeremy Sochan |
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27. MEM | Hugo Besson | 27. MEM | EJ Liddell | 27. CHI | Ousmane Dieng | 27. CHI | Caleb Houstan | 27. CHI | Roko Prkacin | 27. CHI | Ochai Agbaji |
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28. MIA | Wendell Moore | 28. CHI | Walker Kessler | 28. MEM | Jaime Jacquez | 28. MEM | Ousmane Dieng | 28. MEM | Yannick Nzosa | 28. MEM | Dereon Seabron |
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29. GSW | Christian Braun | 29. GSW | Jabari Walker | 29. OKC | Peyton Watson | 29. OKC | Aminu Mohammed | 29. OKC | Blake Wesley | 29. OKC | Christian Koloko |
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30. OKC | Walker Kessler | 30. OKC | Ousmane Dieng | 30. GSW | Malaki Branham | 30. GSW | Bryce McGowens | 30. GSW | Julian Strawther | 30. GSW | Bryce McGowens |
2022-01-22 00:00:00 | High | Low | Variance |
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Shaedon Sharpe | 7 | 8 | 1 |
Chet Holmgren | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Jabari Smith | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Paolo Banchero | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Jaden Ivey | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Bennedict Mathurin | 5 | 11 | 6 |
Patrick Baldwin | 8 | 15 | 7 |
MarJon Beauchamp | 14 | 21 | 7 |
Jalen Duren | 4 | 12 | 8 |
Keegan Murray | 6 | 14 | 8 |
Johnny Davis | 4 | 14 | 10 |
JD Davison | 13 | 25 | 12 |
Kendall Brown | 6 | 19 | 13 |
Kennedy Chandler | 12 | 25 | 13 |
Nikola Jovic | 15 | 28 | 13 |
Wendell Moore | 15 | 28 | 13 |
Dyson Daniels | 9 | 23 | 14 |
Jean Montero | 9 | 23 | 14 |
Jaden Hardy | 6 | 21 | 15 |
Trevor Keels | 7 | 22 | 15 |
AJ Griffin | 5 | 20 | 15 |
TyTy Washington | 9 | 24 | 15 |
Ochai Agbaji | 12 | 27 | 15 |
Blake Wesley | 13 | 29 | 16 |
Tari Eason | 13 | 34 | 21 |
References:
NBA Big Board [Chad Ford]
Sports Illustrated [Jeremy Woo]
USA Today [Bryan Kalbrosky]
Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman]
ESPN/Draft Express [Jonathan Givony]
The Athletic [Sam Vecenie]
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[Archive]: 2023 Big Board Comparisons
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[Archive]: 2023 Mock Draft Comparisons
An archive of all 2023 mock draft comparisons for easy reference.
[NBA Draft]: 2024 Big Board Comparison, September 2023
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