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1/19 update: Three new mock drafts added today: 1st 2023 mock draft from Ricky O’Donnell/SB Nation, two week update from Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, and the launch of the 2023 Ringer draft guide from Kevin O’Connor/The Ringer. I also added the first pick variation chart for the 2023 draft so we can start to see the expected draft range for the top picks. As is typical at this time of year, there’s a high variance for the 27 top prospects I included — 8.7 currently! In contrast to some of the other mock drafts, the three I added today, all have Kel’el Ware going mid-first round and two of three have Noah Clowney in that range too. Also of note is that O’Donnell seems to agreeanalyst to agree with Jeremy Woo and Sam Vecenie about Keyonte George going late lottery. Also, lots of disagreement about where Anthony Black should be picked across the board.
1/16 update: New 2-round mock draft from Tankathon–1st round picks added here. He has Brandon Miller going at #3 to the Pistons, the Thompson twins back-to-back at #4 and #5, and Brice Sensabaugh all the way up at #14 to the Hawks.
1/13 update: I’ve added fresh 1st round picks for Sam Vecenie/The Athletic and Jeremy Woo/Sports Illustrated. Both have Nick Smith dropping to the #9 spot due to his current injury issues and lack of opportunity to showcase his skills. Woo has some very interesting picks that differ from the rest of the pack including Anthony Black going at #3 to Houston, Amen Thompson dropping to #6 for Charlotte, Keyonte George dropping to #16 with the Clippers, and Rayan Rupert jumping him at #13 to the Jazz. Also, I slightly updated my own mock draft, as I totally forgot to include GG Jackson in my original version.
1/8 update: New 1st round picks added for Bryan Kalbrosky/USA Today and Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, as well as our first mock draft of 2023! Jett Howard and Maxwell Lewis now firmly entrenched in the top half of the 1st round, Colby Jones in the middle of the 1st round, and Ricky Council towards the end of the 1st round.
It’s time to break away from the highly erratic early season mock drafts as team records are starting to settle out a bit, giving us a better feel for which teams will be in the lottery. So far this month, we have three new mock drafts to compare, including Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express, Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, and Tankathon. After some impressive games in the non-conference play, some new names have popped into the first round across the board, including Ohio State’s Brice Sensabaugh, Alabama’s Noah Clowney, UCF’s Taylor Hendricks, and Pepperdine’s Maxwell Lewis. The biggest riser of all appears to be Michigan’s Jett Howard, who Wasserman and Givony have going at #10 (Tankathon has at #15). Stay tuned for more mock drafts to be added in the next couple of weeks!
There will be more mock drafts posted in the coming weeks, so make sure to check back for updates and follow me at @hoopsdistillery on Twitter for update notifications. Also, if I’m missing any mock drafts that you feel belong alongside the ‘All-NBA level’ draft analysts I currently include, leave a comment or DM me on Twitter.
The Ringer (1/19) | SB Nation (1/19) | B/R (1/18) | Tankathon (1/14) | SI (1/12) | The Athletic (1/12) | Hoops Distillery (1/8) | USA Today (1/7) |
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1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama | 1. TOR | Victor Wembanyama | 1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama | 1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama | 1. TOR | Victor Wembanyama | 1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama | 1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama | 1. DET | Victor Wembanyama |
2. DET | Scoot Henderson | 2. CHA | Scoot Henderson | 2. CHA | Scoot Henderson | 2. CHA | Scoot Henderson | 2. SAS | Scoot Henderson | 2. DET | Scoot Henderson | 2. DET | Amen Thompson | 2. HOU | Scoot Henderson |
3. CHA | Brandon Miller | 3. DET | Cam Whitmore | 3. DET | Amen Thompson | 3. DET | Brandon Miller | 3. HOU | Anthony Black | 3. SAS | Amen Thompson | 3. CHA | Scoot Henderson | 3. SAS | Amen Thompson |
4. SAS | Amen Thompson | 4. SAS | Amen Thompson | 4. SAS | Ausar Thompson | 4. SAS | Amen Thompson | 4. ORL | Brandon Miller | 4. CHA | Cam Whitmore | 4. SAS | Cam Whitmore | 4. CHA | Keyonte George |
5. ORL | Keyonte George | 5. HOU | Ausar Thompson | 5. ORL | Nick Smith | 5. ORL | Ausar Thompson | 5. DET | Jarace Walker | 5. ORL | Brandon Miller | 5. ORL | Nick Smith | 5. ORL | Ausar Thompson |
6. WAS | Ausar Thompson | 6. ORL | Brandon Miller | 6. WAS | Cam Whitmore | 6. WAS | Nick Smith | 6. CHA | Amen Thompson | 6. TOR | Ausar Thompson | 6. TOR | Cason Wallace | 6. OKC | Cam Whitmore |
7. TOR | Nick Smith | 7. WAS | Nick Smith | 7. TOR | Brandon Miller | 7. NOP | Cam Whitmore | 7. WAS | Cam Whitmore | 7. WAS | Cason Wallace | 7. WAS | Ausar Thompson | 7. NOP | Cason Wallace |
8. NOP | Cam Whitmore | 8. ORL | Cason Wallace | 8. NOP | Jarace Walker | 8. TOR | Keyonte George | 8. OKC | Ausar Thompson | 8. OKC | Jarace Walker | 8. OKC | Anthony Black | 8. ORL | Anthony Black |
9. ORL | Anthony Black | 9. NOP | Jett Howard | 9. ORL | Keyonte George | 9. ORL | Gradey Dick | 9. ORL | Nick Smith | 9. NOP | Nick Smith | 9. ATL | Jett Howard | 9. UTA | Brandon Miller |
10. PHX | Cason Wallace | 10. PHX | Jarace Walker | 10. OKC | Jett Howard | 10. PHX | Cason Wallace | 10. NOP | Cason Wallace | 10. ORL | Dariq Whitehead | 10. UTA | Keyonte George | 10. ATL | Jett Howard |
11. POR | Jarace Walker | 11. OKC | Maxwell Lewis | 11. PHX | GG Jackson | 11. OKC | Jarace Walker | 11. POR | GG Jackson | 11. ATL | Anthony Black | 11. ORL | Gradey Dick | 11. WAS | Nick Smith |
12. UTA | GG Jackson | 12. POR | Keyonte George | 12. UTA | Maxwell Lewis | 12. UTA | Jett Howard | 12. ATL | Gradey Dick | 12. UTA | Keyonte George | 12. NOP | Jarace Walker | 12. TOR | GG Jackson |
13. OKC | Jett Howard | 13. UTA | Dariq Whitehead | 13. POR | Gradey Dick | 13. POR | Anthony Black | 13. UTA | Rayan Rupert | 13. UTA | Gradey Dick | 13. UTA | Brandon Miller | 13. UTA | Gradey Dick |
14. IND | Maxwell Lewis | 14. ATL | Kel'el Ware | 14. ATL | Noah Clowney | 14. ATL | Brice Sensabaugh | 14. UTA | Maxwell Lewis | 14. POR | Brice Sensabaugh | 14. GSW | Jett Howard | 14. POR | Jarace Walker |
15. LAC | Kel'el Ware | 15. UTA | Anthony Black | 15. GSW | Cason Wallace | 15. GSW | Kyle Filipowski | 15. GSW | Taylor Hendricks | 15. LAC | GG Jackson | 15. PHX | Terquavion Smith | 15. IND | Brice Sensabaugh |
16. GSW | Gradey Dick | 16. GSW | Gradey Dick | 16. UTA | Brice Sensabaugh | 16. UTA | Dariq Whitehead | 16. PHX | Keyonte George | 16. PHX | Jett Howard | 16. CHI | GG Jackson | 16. SAC | Kris Murray |
17. UTA | Dariq Whitehead | 17. IND | Brice Sensabaugh | 17. LAC | Anthony Black | 17. LAC | Kel'el Ware | 17. LAC | Dariq Whitehead | 17. MIA | Rayan Rupert | 17. LAC | Kyle Filipowski | 17. LAC | Maxwell Lewis |
18. ATL | Taylor Hendricks | 18. LAC | Kris Murray | 18. IND | Kel'el Ware | 18. IND | Terquavion Smith | 18. MIA | Jett Howard | 18. GSW | Kris Murray | 18. MIA | Dariq Whitehead | 18. NYK | Kyle Filipowski |
19. NYK | Brice Sensabaugh | 19. NYK | GG Jackson | 19. NYK | Terquavion Smith | 19. NYK | Kris Murray | 19. NYK | Noah Clowney | 19. SAC | Mawell Lewis | 19. SAC | Colby Jones | 19. MIA | Dariq Whitehead |
20. NYK | Noah Clowney | 20. MIA | Taylor Hendricks | 20. MIA | Taylor Hendricks | 20. MIA | GG Jackson | 20. SAC | Leonard Miller | 20. IND | Taylor Hendricks | 20. IND | Maxwell Lewis | 20. GSW | Taylor Hendricks |
21. MIA | Kyle Filipowski | 21. NYK | Kyle Filipowski | 21. NYK | Dariq Whitehead | 21. NYK | Maxwell Lewis | 21. NYK | Brice Sensabaugh | 21. NYK | Baba Miller | 21. NYK | Taylor Hendricks | 21. PHX | Terquavion Smith |
22. LAL | Terquavion Smith | 22. SAC | Terquavion Smith | 22. SAC | Kris Murray | 22. SAC | Rayan Rupert | 22. IND | Kyle Filipowski | 22. NYK | Jordan Hawkins | 22. NYK | Kris Murray | 22. NYK | Colby Jones |
23. SAC | Baba Miller | 23. LAL | DaRon Holmes | 23. LAL | Jordan Hawkins | 23. LAL | Taylor Hendricks | 23. LAL | Kris Murray | 23. BKN | Colby Jones | 23. LAL | Kel'el Ware | 23. HOU | Leonard Miller |
24. IND | Kris Murray | 24. IND | Rayan Rupert | 24. IND | Rayan Rupert | 24. IND | Dillon Mitchell | 24. IND | Kel'el Ware | 24. LAL | Terquavion Smith | 24. BKN | Brice Sensabaugh | 24. LAL | Jordan Hawkins |
25. BKN | Dereck Lively | 25. BKN | Leonard Miller | 25. HOU | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 25. HOU | Colby Jones | 25. BKN | Mark Mitchell | 25. IND | Marcus Sasser | 25. IND | Dillon Mitchell | 25. CHA | Noah Clowney |
26. UTA | Rayan Rupert | 26. HOU | Emoni Bates | 26. BKN | Kyle Filipowski | 26. BKN | Dereck Lively | 26. HOU | Dereck Lively | 26. HOU | Kel'el Ware | 26. HOU | Noah Clowney | 26. BKN | Marcus Sasser |
27. HOU | Jordan Hawkins | 27. UTA | Jordan Walsh | 27. UTA | Marcus Sasser | 27. UTA | Marcus Sasser | 27. UTA | Marcus Sasser | 27. MEM | Leonard Miller | 27. MEM | Coleman Hawkins | 27. IND | DaRon Holmes |
28. MEM | DaRon Holmes | 28. CHA | Ricky Council | 28. MEM | Colby Jones | 28. MEM | Noah Clowney | 28. CHA | Colby Jones | 28. UTA | Terrence Shannon | 28. UTA | Rayan Rupert | 28. UTA | Rayan Rupert |
29. CHA | Jaime Jaquez | 29. MEM | Marcus Sasser | 29. CHA | Leonard Miller | 29. CHA | Terrence Shannon | 29. MEM | Jaime Jaquez | 29. CHA | Kyle Filipowski | 29. CHA | Marcus Sasser | 29. MEM | Coleman Hawkins |
30. IND | Julian Phillips | 30. IND | Coleman Hawkins | 30. IND | Tristan Vukcevic | 30. IND | Coleman Hawkins | 30. IND | Dillon Mitchell | 30. IND | DaRon Holmes | 30. IND | DaRon Holmes | 30. IND | Kel'el Ware |
Pick Variance | High | Low | Variance |
---|---|---|---|
Scoot Henderson | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Victor Wembanyama | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Amen Thompson | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Ausar Thompson | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Marcus Sasser | 25 | 29 | 4 |
Cam Whitmore | 3 | 8 | 5 |
Nick Smith | 5 | 11 | 6 |
Gradey Dick | 9 | 16 | 7 |
Kris Murray | 16 | 24 | 8 |
Taylor Hendricks | 15 | 23 | 8 |
Cason Wallace | 6 | 15 | 9 |
Colby Jones | 19 | 28 | 9 |
GG Jackson | 11 | 20 | 9 |
Jarace Walker | 5 | 14 | 9 |
Jett Howard | 9 | 18 | 9 |
Leonard Miller | 20 | 29 | 9 |
Terquavion Smith | 15 | 24 | 9 |
Brandon Miller | 3 | 13 | 10 |
Brice Sensabaugh | 14 | 24 | 10 |
Maxwell Lewis | 11 | 21 | 10 |
Dariq Whitehead | 10 | 21 | 11 |
Keyonte George | 4 | 16 | 12 |
Anthony Black | 3 | 17 | 14 |
Kyle Filipowski | 15 | 29 | 14 |
Noah Clowney | 14 | 28 | 14 |
Rayan Rupert | 13 | 28 | 15 |
Kel'el Ware | 14 | 30 | 16 |
References:
The Ringer [Kevin O’Connor]
SB Nation [Ricky O’Donnell)
The Athletic [Sam Vecenie]
Sports Illustrated [Jeremy Woo}
ESPN/Draft Express [Jonathan Givony] – removed from the chart since it was from December
Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 1/8
Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 1/19
USA Today/Bryan Kalbrosky
Search #mockdraftcomp on Twitter for all past Tweets

Potential Movement of Draft Order (via Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express)
- Charlotte’s first-rounder is owned by Atlanta if Charlotte’s pick falls between No. 17 and 30 in 2023. If Charlotte’s pick finishes between 1-16, Atlanta will instead receive Charlotte’s 2024 first-rounder, lottery-protected.
- On draft night, Charlotte scored a protected top-14 protected first-rounder from Denver via Oklahoma City and New York in a three-way trade.
- Houston has first-round swap rights with Brooklyn.
- Houston owns Milwaukee’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
- Brooklyn owns Philadelphia’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
- Chicago’s first-rounder is owned by Orlando if Chicago’s pick falls between 5 and 30 in 2023. If Chicago’s pick finishes between 1-4, Orlando will instead receive Chicago’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-3.
- Portland’s first-rounder is owned by Chicago if Portland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Portland misses the playoffs as expected, Chicago will instead receive Portland’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
- Cleveland’s first-rounder is owned by Indiana if Cleveland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Cleveland misses the playoffs, Indiana will instead receive Cleveland’s 2025 second-round pick and the Lakers’ 2026 second-round pick.
- Dallas’ first-rounder is owned by New York if Dallas’ pick falls between 11 and 30 in 2023. If Dallas’ pick finishes between 1-10, New York will instead receive Dallas’ 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-10.
- Denver’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Denver’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Denver misses the playoffs, Oklahoma City will instead receive Denver’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
- Detroit’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Detroit’s pick falls between 19 and 30 in 2023. If Detroit’s pick falls between 1-18, Oklahoma City will instead receive Detroit’s 2024 first-rounder, again protected for picks 1-18.
- Oklahoma City has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Clippers.
- New Orleans has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Lakers.
- On draft night, New York gained two protected first-round picks, both via Oklahoma City: a top-14 protected originally from Washington, and a top-18 protected originally from Detroit.
- Washington’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Washington’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Washington’s pick finishes between 1-14, Oklahoma City will instead receive Washington’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-12.
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Other NBA Draft consumables for your reading pleasure:
[NBA Draft]: 2023 Big Board Comparison, December 2022 (updated 1/8)
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