[NBA Draft]: 2023 Mock Draft Comparison, January 2023

Note: If the table is not loading correctly on your mobile device via Twitter, then copy and paste this link in your browser and view the post on my site at https://hoopsdistillery.com/mockdraftcomp-dec22/.

1/19 update: Three new mock drafts added today: 1st 2023 mock draft from Ricky O’Donnell/SB Nation, two week update from Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, and the launch of the 2023 Ringer draft guide from Kevin O’Connor/The Ringer. I also added the first pick variation chart for the 2023 draft so we can start to see the expected draft range for the top picks. As is typical at this time of year, there’s a high variance for the 27 top prospects I included — 8.7 currently! In contrast to some of the other mock drafts, the three I added today, all have Kel’el Ware going mid-first round and two of three have Noah Clowney in that range too. Also of note is that O’Donnell seems to agreeanalyst to agree with Jeremy Woo and Sam Vecenie about Keyonte George going late lottery. Also, lots of disagreement about where Anthony Black should be picked across the board.

1/16 update: New 2-round mock draft from Tankathon–1st round picks added here. He has Brandon Miller going at #3 to the Pistons, the Thompson twins back-to-back at #4 and #5, and Brice Sensabaugh all the way up at #14 to the Hawks.

1/13 update: I’ve added fresh 1st round picks for Sam Vecenie/The Athletic and Jeremy Woo/Sports Illustrated. Both have Nick Smith dropping to the #9 spot due to his current injury issues and lack of opportunity to showcase his skills. Woo has some very interesting picks that differ from the rest of the pack including Anthony Black going at #3 to Houston, Amen Thompson dropping to #6 for Charlotte, Keyonte George dropping to #16 with the Clippers, and Rayan Rupert jumping him at #13 to the Jazz. Also, I slightly updated my own mock draft, as I totally forgot to include GG Jackson in my original version.

1/8 update: New 1st round picks added for Bryan Kalbrosky/USA Today and Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, as well as our first mock draft of 2023! Jett Howard and Maxwell Lewis now firmly entrenched in the top half of the 1st round, Colby Jones in the middle of the 1st round, and Ricky Council towards the end of the 1st round.

It’s time to break away from the highly erratic early season mock drafts as team records are starting to settle out a bit, giving us a better feel for which teams will be in the lottery. So far this month, we have three new mock drafts to compare, including Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express, Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, and Tankathon. After some impressive games in the non-conference play, some new names have popped into the first round across the board, including Ohio State’s Brice Sensabaugh, Alabama’s Noah Clowney, UCF’s Taylor Hendricks, and Pepperdine’s Maxwell Lewis. The biggest riser of all appears to be Michigan’s Jett Howard, who Wasserman and Givony have going at #10 (Tankathon has at #15). Stay tuned for more mock drafts to be added in the next couple of weeks!

There will be more mock drafts posted in the coming weeks, so make sure to check back for updates and follow me at @hoopsdistillery on Twitter for update notifications. Also, if I’m missing any mock drafts that you feel belong alongside the ‘All-NBA level’ draft analysts I currently include, leave a comment or DM me on Twitter.

The Ringer
(1/19)
SB Nation
(1/19)
B/R
(1/18)
Tankathon
(1/14)
SI
(1/12)
The Athletic
(1/12)
Hoops Distillery
(1/8)
USA Today
(1/7)
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
1. TORVictor
Wembanyama
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
1. TORVictor
Wembanyama
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
1. DETVictor
Wembanyama
2. DETScoot
Henderson 
2. CHAScoot
Henderson 
2. CHAScoot
Henderson 
2. CHAScoot
Henderson 
2. SASScoot
Henderson 
2. DETScoot
Henderson 
2. DETAmen
Thompson
2. HOUScoot
Henderson 
3. CHABrandon
Miller
3. DETCam
Whitmore
3. DETAmen
Thompson
3. DETBrandon
Miller
3. HOUAnthony
Black
3. SASAmen
Thompson
3. CHAScoot
Henderson 
3. SASAmen
Thompson
4. SASAmen
Thompson
4. SASAmen
Thompson
4. SASAusar
Thompson
4. SASAmen
Thompson
4. ORLBrandon
Miller
4. CHACam
Whitmore
4. SASCam
Whitmore
4. CHAKeyonte
George
5. ORLKeyonte
George
5. HOUAusar
Thompson
5. ORLNick
Smith 
5. ORLAusar
Thompson
5. DETJarace
Walker
5. ORLBrandon
Miller
5. ORLNick
Smith 
5. ORLAusar
Thompson
6. WASAusar
Thompson
6. ORLBrandon
Miller
6. WASCam
Whitmore
6. WASNick
Smith 
6. CHAAmen
Thompson
6. TORAusar
Thompson
6. TORCason
Wallace
6. OKCCam
Whitmore
7. TORNick
Smith 
7. WASNick
Smith 
7. TORBrandon
Miller
7. NOPCam
Whitmore
7. WASCam
Whitmore
7. WASCason
Wallace
7. WASAusar
Thompson
7. NOPCason
Wallace
8. NOPCam
Whitmore
8. ORLCason
Wallace
8. NOPJarace
Walker
8. TORKeyonte
George
8. OKCAusar
Thompson
8. OKCJarace
Walker
8. OKCAnthony
Black
8. ORLAnthony
Black
9. ORLAnthony
Black
9. NOPJett
Howard
9. ORLKeyonte
George
9. ORLGradey
Dick
9. ORLNick
Smith 
9. NOPNick
Smith 
9. ATLJett
Howard
9. UTABrandon
Miller
10. PHXCason
Wallace
10. PHXJarace
Walker
10. OKCJett
Howard
10. PHXCason
Wallace
10. NOPCason
Wallace
10. ORLDariq
Whitehead
10. UTAKeyonte
George
10. ATLJett
Howard
11. PORJarace
Walker
11. OKCMaxwell
Lewis
11. PHXGG
Jackson
11. OKCJarace
Walker
11. PORGG
Jackson
11. ATLAnthony
Black
11. ORLGradey
Dick
11. WASNick
Smith 
12. UTAGG
Jackson
12. PORKeyonte
George
12. UTAMaxwell
Lewis
12. UTAJett
Howard
12. ATLGradey
Dick
12. UTAKeyonte
George
12. NOPJarace
Walker
12. TORGG
Jackson
13. OKCJett
Howard
13. UTADariq
Whitehead
13. PORGradey
Dick
13. PORAnthony
Black
13. UTARayan
Rupert
13. UTAGradey
Dick
13. UTABrandon
Miller
13. UTAGradey
Dick
14. INDMaxwell
Lewis
14. ATLKel'el
Ware
14. ATLNoah
Clowney
14. ATLBrice
Sensabaugh
14. UTAMaxwell
Lewis
14. PORBrice
Sensabaugh
14. GSWJett
Howard
14. PORJarace
Walker
15. LACKel'el
Ware
15. UTAAnthony
Black
15. GSWCason
Wallace
15. GSWKyle
Filipowski
15. GSWTaylor
Hendricks
15. LACGG
Jackson
15. PHXTerquavion
Smith
15. INDBrice
Sensabaugh
16. GSWGradey
Dick
16. GSWGradey
Dick
16. UTABrice
Sensabaugh
16. UTADariq
Whitehead
16. PHXKeyonte
George
16. PHXJett
Howard
16. CHIGG
Jackson
16. SACKris
Murray
17. UTADariq
Whitehead
17. INDBrice
Sensabaugh
17. LACAnthony
Black
17. LACKel'el
Ware
17. LACDariq
Whitehead
17. MIARayan
Rupert
17. LACKyle
Filipowski
17. LACMaxwell
Lewis
18. ATLTaylor
Hendricks
18. LACKris
Murray
18. INDKel'el
Ware
18. INDTerquavion
Smith
18. MIAJett
Howard
18. GSWKris
Murray
18. MIADariq
Whitehead
18. NYKKyle
Filipowski
19. NYKBrice
Sensabaugh
19. NYKGG
Jackson
19. NYKTerquavion
Smith
19. NYKKris
Murray
19. NYKNoah
Clowney
19. SACMawell
Lewis
19. SACColby
Jones
19. MIADariq
Whitehead
20. NYKNoah
Clowney
20. MIATaylor
Hendricks
20. MIATaylor
Hendricks
20. MIAGG
Jackson
20. SACLeonard
Miller
20. INDTaylor
Hendricks
20. INDMaxwell
Lewis
20. GSWTaylor
Hendricks
21. MIAKyle
Filipowski
21. NYKKyle
Filipowski
21. NYKDariq
Whitehead
21. NYKMaxwell
Lewis
21. NYKBrice
Sensabaugh
21. NYKBaba
Miller
21. NYKTaylor
Hendricks
21. PHXTerquavion
Smith
22. LALTerquavion
Smith
22. SACTerquavion
Smith
22. SACKris
Murray
22. SACRayan
Rupert
22. INDKyle
Filipowski
22. NYKJordan
Hawkins
22. NYKKris
Murray
22. NYKColby
Jones
23. SACBaba
Miller
23. LALDaRon
Holmes
23. LALJordan
Hawkins
23. LALTaylor
Hendricks
23. LALKris
Murray
23. BKNColby
Jones
23. LALKel'el
Ware
23. HOULeonard
Miller
24. INDKris
Murray
24. INDRayan
Rupert
24. INDRayan
Rupert
24. INDDillon
Mitchell
24. INDKel'el
Ware
24. LALTerquavion
Smith
24. BKNBrice
Sensabaugh
24. LALJordan
Hawkins
25. BKNDereck
Lively
25. BKNLeonard
Miller
25. HOUJalen
Hood-Schifino
25. HOUColby
Jones
25. BKNMark
Mitchell
25. INDMarcus
Sasser
25. INDDillon
Mitchell
25. CHANoah
Clowney
26. UTARayan
Rupert
26. HOUEmoni
Bates
26. BKNKyle
Filipowski
26. BKNDereck
Lively
26. HOUDereck
Lively
26. HOUKel'el
Ware
26. HOUNoah
Clowney
26. BKNMarcus
Sasser
27. HOUJordan
Hawkins
27. UTAJordan
Walsh
27. UTAMarcus
Sasser
27. UTAMarcus
Sasser
27. UTAMarcus
Sasser
27. MEMLeonard
Miller
27. MEMColeman
Hawkins
27. INDDaRon
Holmes
28. MEMDaRon
Holmes
28. CHARicky
Council
28. MEMColby
Jones
28. MEMNoah
Clowney
28. CHAColby
Jones
28. UTATerrence
Shannon
28. UTARayan
Rupert
28. UTARayan
Rupert
29. CHAJaime
Jaquez
29. MEMMarcus
Sasser
29. CHALeonard
Miller
29. CHATerrence
Shannon
29. MEMJaime
Jaquez
29. CHAKyle
Filipowski
29. CHAMarcus
Sasser
29. MEMColeman
Hawkins
30. INDJulian
Phillips
30. INDColeman
Hawkins
30. INDTristan
Vukcevic
30. INDColeman
Hawkins
30. INDDillon
Mitchell
30. INDDaRon
Holmes
30. INDDaRon
Holmes
30. INDKel'el
Ware
Pick VarianceHighLowVariance
Scoot
Henderson 
220
Victor
Wembanyama
110
Amen
Thompson
264
Ausar
Thompson
484
Marcus
Sasser
25294
Cam
Whitmore
385
Nick
Smith 
5116
Gradey
Dick
9167
Kris
Murray
16248
Taylor
Hendricks
15238
Cason
Wallace
6159
Colby
Jones
19289
GG
Jackson
11209
Jarace
Walker
5149
Jett
Howard
9189
Leonard
Miller
20299
Terquavion
Smith
15249
Brandon
Miller
31310
Brice
Sensabaugh
142410
Maxwell
Lewis
112110
Dariq
Whitehead
102111
Keyonte
George
41612
Anthony
Black
31714
Kyle
Filipowski
152914
Noah
Clowney
142814
Rayan
Rupert
132815
Kel'el
Ware
143016

References:

The Ringer [Kevin O’Connor]

SB Nation [Ricky O’Donnell)

The Athletic [Sam Vecenie]

Sports Illustrated [Jeremy Woo}

ESPN/Draft Express [Jonathan Givony] – removed from the chart since it was from December

Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 1/8

Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 1/19

USA Today/Bryan Kalbrosky

Tankathon

Search #mockdraftcomp on Twitter for all past Tweets

Potential Movement of Draft Order (via Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express)

  • Charlotte’s first-rounder is owned by Atlanta if Charlotte’s pick falls between No. 17 and 30 in 2023. If Charlotte’s pick finishes between 1-16, Atlanta will instead receive Charlotte’s 2024 first-rounder, lottery-protected.
  • On draft night, Charlotte scored a protected top-14 protected first-rounder from Denver via Oklahoma City and New York in a three-way trade.
  • Houston has first-round swap rights with Brooklyn.
  • Houston owns Milwaukee’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
  • Brooklyn owns Philadelphia’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
  • Chicago’s first-rounder is owned by Orlando if Chicago’s pick falls between 5 and 30 in 2023. If Chicago’s pick finishes between 1-4, Orlando will instead receive Chicago’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-3.
  • Portland’s first-rounder is owned by Chicago if Portland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Portland misses the playoffs as expected, Chicago will instead receive Portland’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
  • Cleveland’s first-rounder is owned by Indiana if Cleveland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Cleveland misses the playoffs, Indiana will instead receive Cleveland’s 2025 second-round pick and the Lakers’ 2026 second-round pick.
  • Dallas’ first-rounder is owned by New York if Dallas’ pick falls between 11 and 30 in 2023. If Dallas’ pick finishes between 1-10, New York will instead receive Dallas’ 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-10.
  • Denver’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Denver’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Denver misses the playoffs, Oklahoma City will instead receive Denver’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
  • Detroit’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Detroit’s pick falls between 19 and 30 in 2023. If Detroit’s pick falls between 1-18, Oklahoma City will instead receive Detroit’s 2024 first-rounder, again protected for picks 1-18.
  • Oklahoma City has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Clippers.
  • New Orleans has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • On draft night, New York gained two protected first-round picks, both via Oklahoma City: a top-14 protected originally from Washington, and a top-18 protected originally from Detroit.
  • Washington’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Washington’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Washington’s pick finishes between 1-14, Oklahoma City will instead receive Washington’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-12.

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Other NBA Draft consumables for your reading pleasure:

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