Note: If the table is not loading correctly on your mobile device via Twitter, then copy and paste this link in your browser and view the post on my site at https://hoopsdistillery.com/mockdraftcomp-mar23/.
3/28 update: Two new mock drafts added today–2nd update this month from Kevin O’Connor/The Ringer, as well as Sam Vecenie/The Athletic. KOC has moved up Taylor Hendricks to #8 pick to the Wizards, while Vecenie has him going at #9 to the Magic. Other notable picks include KOC with Noah Clowney going #14 to the Lakers, and Vecenie with Jordan Hawkins going #12 to OKC and Dereck Lively going #14 to the Lakers.
I also re-updated the pick variance chart, and as you’ll see, variance for many prospects increased with opinions shifting from the start to the end of the month.
3/17 update: Updated mock drafts this week from Tankathon, Ricky O’Donnell/SB Nation, and Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report. I also added my updated mock draft to the mix, with both Thompson twins going to the Magic (we all know John Hammond wants this!). Wasserman has Taylor Hendricks all the way up at #10 and Kobe Bufkin at #14 in his updated mock. Lots of buzz this week about Brandon Miller overtaking Scoot for the #2 pick, but Scoot is still at #2 across the board. Interestingly, O’Donnell has Amen Thompson going #3 and Brandon Miller #4 (similar to Kalbrosky’s mock). Time to let all of this marinate while watching another great day of March Madness from 12 to 12. Oddly, across the four new mocks, only Wasserman has Kobe Bufkin in the 1st round, up at #14 to Toronto.
I also added our pick variance chart for March. Pretty easy to see that there is a decent amount of consensus across our mock drafts for the guys who will go in the lottery, but lots of disagreement about who goes where in the 15 to 30 range. Jett Howard is mocked to go anywhere from 12 to 28, while Jalen Hood-Schifino has a wide range from 12 to 27.
March has arrived, and with it, a new batch of mock drafts to compare and analyze including picks from Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express, Kevin O’Connor/The Ringer, Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, and Bryan Kalbrosky/USA Today. With the college season, OTE and G League winding down, there’s been quite a bit of movement. Jalen Hood-Schifino is now considered a late lottery pick across the board after playing some very impressive games as part of a late season run for Indiana. Sidy Cissoko and Leonard Miller are also gaining a bit of momentum, moving into the 20’s on a few of these new mocks. Meanwhile, Maxwell Lewis and Terquavion Smith have dropped to the mid-to-late 20’s for most, with some uninspiring play as of late. Also notable, Wasserman and Givony seem to be cooling on GG Jackson, who they now have in the 20’s.
There have been some really entertaining draft discussions on podcasts over the past couple of weeks including:
The Ringer NBA Draft Show – 3/8 episode: Top-10 NBA Mock Draft
The Box and One podcast/YouTube channel – 3/6 : Mock Draft 2.0
Game Theory podcast – 3/9 episode: NBA Draft comparison battles
Locked On NBA Big Board – 3/7 episode: Does the Ja Morant situation impact how teams will evaluate prospects and their friends?
Also, don’t miss these great pieces:
Tyler Rucker/No Ceilings: “It’s Overthinking Season“
Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report: Biggest Red Flags for Projected 2023 NBA Draft Lottery Picks
There will be more mock drafts added this month, so make sure to check back for updates and follow me at @hoopsdistillery on Twitter for update notifications. Also, if I’m missing any mock drafts that you feel belong alongside the ‘All-NBA level’ draft analysts I currently include, leave a comment or DM me on Twitter.
The Athletic (3/28) | The Ringer (3/23) | SB Nation (3/16) | Hoops Distillery (3/14) | Tankathon (3/15) | B/R (3/15) | ESPN (3/9) | The Ringer (3/9) | USA Today (3/6) | B/R (3/1) |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. DET | Victor Wembanyama | 1. POR | Victor Wembanyama | 1. SAS | Victor Wembanyama | 1. DET | Victor Wembanyama | 1. DET | Victor Wembanyama | 1. DET | Victor Wembanyama | 1. DET | Victor Wembanyama | 1. SAS | Victor Wembanyama | 1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama | 1. HOU | Victor Wembanyama |
2. HOU | Scoot Henderson | 2. IND | Brandon Miller | 2. ORL | Scoot Henderson | 2. HOU | Scoot Henderson | 2. HOU | Scoot Henderson | 2. HOU | Scoot Henderson | 2. HOU | Scoot Henderson | 2. CHI | Scoot Henderson | 2. DET | Scoot Henderson | 2. SAS | Scoot Henderson |
3. SAS | Brandon Miller | 3. HOU | Scoot Henderson | 3. CHA | Amen Thompson | 3. SAS | Brandon Miller | 3. SAS | Brandon Miller | 3. SAS | Brandon Miller | 3. SAS | Brandon Miller | 3. DET | Brandon Miller | 3. SAS | Amen Thompson | 3. DET | Amen Thompson |
4. CHA | Amen Thompson | 4. SAS | Amen Thompson | 4. POR | Brandon Miller | 4. CHA | Jarace Walker | 4. CHA | Amen Thompson | 4. CHA | Amen Thompson | 4. CHA | Amen Thompson | 4. WAS | Amen Thompson | 4. CHA | Brandon Miller | 4. CHA | Brandon Miller |
5. ORL | Cam Whitmore | 5. DET | Cam Whitmore | 5. DET | Cam Whitmore | 5. ORL | Amen Thompson | 5. ORL | Ausar Thompson | 5. ORL | Jarace Walker | 5. ORL | Ausar Thompson | 5. HOU | Jarace Walker | 5. ORL | Cam Whitmore | 5. ORL | Jarace Walker |
6. WAS | Ausar Thompson | 6. CHA | Jarace Walker | 6. HOU | Ausar Thompson | 6. POR | Gradey Dick | 6. POR | Jarace Walker | 6. IND | Ausar Thompson | 6. IND | Jarace Walker | 6. CHA | Ausar Thompson | 6. IND | Ausar Thompson | 6. IND | Nick Smith |
7. POR | Anthony Black | 7. ORL | Ausar Thompson | 7. IND | Jarace Walker | 7. ORL | Ausar Thompson | 7. IND | Cam Whitmore | 7. WAS | Cam Whitmore | 7. UTA | Nick Smith | 7. ORL | Keyonte George | 7. OKC | Anthony Black | 7. ORL | Gradey Dick |
8. IND | Jarace Walker | 8. WAS | Taylor Hendricks | 8. WAS | Nick Smith | 8. IND | Anthony Black | 8. ORL | Gradey Dick | 8. POR | Gradey Dick | 8. OKC | Cam Whitmore | 8. IND | Cam Whitmore | 8. ORL | Nick Smith | 8. OKC | Cam Whitmore |
9. ORL | Taylor Hendricks | 9. ORL | Gradey Dick | 9. ORL | Gradey Dick | 9. WAS | Cam Whitmore | 9. WAS | Nick Smith | 9. ORL | Nick Smith | 9. ORL | Keyonte George | 9. UTA | Anthony Black | 9. POR | Jarace Walker | 9. WAS | Ausar Thompson |
10. TOR | Cason Wallace | 10. TOR | Nick Smith | 10. TOR | Cason Wallace | 10. NOP | Cason Wallace | 10. NOP | Anthony Black | 10. TOR | Taylor Hendricks | 10. POR | Anthony Black | 10. NOP | Gradey Dick | 10. WAS | Keyonte George | 10. POR | Anthony Black |
11. UTA | Gradey Dick | 11. UTA | Keyonte George | 11. UTA | Keyonte George | 11. UTA | Nick Smith | 11. UTA | Keyonte George | 11. UTA | Anthony Black | 11. WAS | Gradey Dick | 11. POR | Cason Wallace | 11. NOP | Cason Wallace | 11. NOP | Taylor Hendricks |
12. OKC | Jordan Hawkins | 12. NOP | Anthony Black | 12. NOP | Jett Howard | 12. OKC | Rayan Rupert | 12. TOR | Brice Sensabaugh | 12. LAL | Keyonte George | 12. NOP | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 12. OKC | Nick Smith | 12. UTA | Gradey Dick | 12. TOR | Keyonte George |
13. NOP | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 13. NYK | Cason Wallace | 13. LAL | Anthony Black | 13. LAL | Keyonte George | 13. LAL | Taylor Hendricks | 13. NOP | Cason Wallace | 13. LAL | Cason Wallace | 13. TOR | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 13. LAL | Brice Sensabaugh | 13. LAL | Cason Wallace |
14. LAL | Dereck Lively | 14. LAL | Noah Clowney | 14. OKC | Rayan Rupert | 14. TOR | Taylor Hendricks | 14. OKC | Cason Wallace | 14. OKC | Kobe Bufkin | 14. ATL | Taylor Hendricks | 14. LAL | Taylor Hendricks | 14. TOR | GG Jackson | 14. UTA | Jalen Hood-Schifino |
15. NYK | Keyonte George | 15. ATL | Jett Howard | 15. NYK | Maxwell Lewis | 15. ATL | Brice Sensabaugh | 15. ATL | Jett Howard | 15. NYK | Jett Howard | 15. TOR | Jett Howard | 15. ATL | Kris Murray | 15. ATL | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 15. UTA | Jett Howard |
16. ATL | Nick Smith | 16. UTA | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 16. ATL | Taylor Hendricks | 16. UTA | Jett Howard | 16. UTA | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 16. ATL | Kris Murray | 16. UTA | Rayan Rupert | 16. UTA | GG Jackson | 16. UTA | Jordan Hawkins | 16. GSW | Kris Murray |
17. UTA | Leonard Miller | 17. OKC | Brice Sensabaugh | 17. UTA | Kyle Filipowski | 17. NYK | Kris Murray | 17. NYK | Kris Murray | 17. UTA | Kyle Filipowski | 17. MIA | Kyle Filipowski | 17. HOU | Jett Howard | 17. NYK | Taylor Hendricks | 17. ATL | Brice Sensabaugh |
18. GSW | Kyle Filipowski | 18. GSW | Rayan Rupert | 18. GSW | Dariq Whitehead | 18. GSW | Kobe Bufkin | 18. GSW | Dereck Lively | 18. GSW | Colby Jones | 18. GSW | Brice Sensabaugh | 18. GSW | Dereck Lively | 18. HOU | Leonard Miller | 18. NYK | Dariq Whitehead |
19. HOU | Brice Sensabaugh | 19. HOU | Dereck Lively | 19. HOU | Kris Murray | 19. HOU | Dereck Lively | 19. HOU | Rayan Rupert | 19. HOU | Rayan Rupert | 19. NYK | Kris Murray | 19. NYK | Jordan Hawkins | 19. GSW | Colby Jones | 19. HOU | Rayan Rupert |
20. BKN | Kris Murray | 20. BKN | Jordan Hawkins | 20. MIA | Brice Sensabaugh | 20. MIA | Dariq Whitehead | 20. MIA | Jordan Hawkins | 20. MIA | Brice Sensabaugh | 20. HOU | Dereck Lively | 20. MIA | Rayan Rupert | 20. MIA | Dereck Lively | 20. MIA | Brandin Podziemski |
21. BKN | Kobe Bufkin | 21. MIA | Kyle Filipowski | 21. BKN | GG Jackson | 21. BKN | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 21. BKN | Kyle Filipowski | 21. BKN | GG Jackson | 21. BKN | Kobe Bufkin | 21. BKN | Kyle Filipowski | 21. BKN | Kris Murray | 21. BKN | GG Jackson |
22. MIA | Dariq Whitehead | 22. BKN | GG Jackson | 22. POR | Kel'el Ware | 22. BKN | GG Jackson | 22. BKN | GG Jackson | 22. POR | Dariq Whitehead | 22. BKN | Leonard Miller | 22. BKN | Sidy Cissoko | 22. BKN | Terquavion Smith | 22. POR | Kobe Bufkin |
23. POR | Rayan Rupert | 23. POR | Colby Jones | 23. BKN | Colby Jones | 23. POR | Noah Clowney | 23. POR | Maxwell Lewis | 23. BKN | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 23. SAC | Jordan Hawkins | 23. POR | James Nnaji | 23. POR | DaRon Holmes | 23. BKN | Jordan Hawkins |
24. SAC | Jett Howard | 24. SAC | Kris Murray | 24. SAC | Noah Clowney | 24. MEM | Sidy Cissoko | 24. MEM | Colby Jones | 24. MEM | Dereck Lively | 24. MEM | Maxwell Lewis | 24. MEM | Brice Sensabaugh | 24. SAC | Maxwell Lewis | 24. SAC | Bilal Coulibaly |
25. MEM | Noah Clowney | 25. IND | Maxwell Lewis | 25. MEM | Leonard Miller | 25. SAC | Colby Jones | 25. SAC | Terquavion Smith | 25. SAC | Brandin Podziemski | 25. POR | James Nnaji | 25. SAC | Maxwell Lewis | 25. IND | Brandin Podziemski | 25. IND | Maxwell Lewis |
26. IND | GG Jackson | 26. MEM | Sidy Cissoko | 26. IND | Terquavion Smith | 26. IND | Kyle Filipowski | 26. IND | Leonard Miller | 26. IND | Trayce Jackson Davis | 26. IND | Colby Jones | 26. IND | Dariq Whitehead | 26. MEM | Sidy Cissoko | 26. MEM | Julian Strawther |
27. CHA | Julian Strawther | 27. CHA | Dariq Whitehead | 27. UTA | Jalen Hood-Schifino | 27. CHA | Maxwell Lewis | 27. CHA | Dariq Whitehead | 27. CHA | Maxwell Lewis | 27. UTA | GG Jackson | 27. UTA | Colby Jones | 27. UTA | Marcus Sasser | 27. UTA | Ricky Council |
28. UTA | Maxwell Lewis | 28. UTA | Leonard Miller | 28. CHA | Kobe Bufkin | 28. UTA | Julian Phillips | 28. UTA | Bilal Coulibaly | 28. UTA | Noah Clowney | 28. IND | Noah Clowney | 28. IND | Julian Phillips | 28. CHA | Jett Howard | 28. CHA | Kyle Filipowski |
29. IND | Colby Jones | 29. IND | Julian Phillips | 29. IND | Dereck Lively | 29. IND | Jordan Hawkins | 29. IND | Marcus Sasser | 29. IND | Bilal Coulibaly | 29. CHA | Dariq Whitehead | 29. CHA | Terquavion Smith | 29. LAC | Julian Strawther | 29. LAC | Dereck Lively |
30. LAC | Marcus Sasser | 30. LAC | Jaime Jaquez | 30. LAC | Terrence Shannon | 30. LAC | Leonard Miller | 30. LAC | James Nnaji | 30. LAC | Julian Strawther | 30. LAC | Trayce Jackson-Davis | 30. LAC | Trayce Jackson-Davis | 30. IND | Jaime Jaquez | 30. IND | Terquavion Smith |
Pick | High | Low | Variance |
---|---|---|---|
Jordan Hawkins | 12 | 29 | 17 |
Jett Howard | 12 | 28 | 16 |
Dereck Lively | 14 | 29 | 15 |
Jalen Hood-Schifino | 12 | 27 | 15 |
Kobe Bufkin | 14 | 28 | 14 |
Noah Clowney | 14 | 28 | 14 |
Leonard Miller | 17 | 30 | 13 |
Brice Sensabaugh | 12 | 24 | 12 |
GG Jackson | 14 | 26 | 12 |
Maxwell Lewis | 15 | 27 | 12 |
Colby Jones | 18 | 29 | 11 |
Dariq Whitehead | 18 | 29 | 11 |
Rayan Rupert | 12 | 23 | 11 |
Kris Murray | 15 | 24 | 9 |
Kyle Filipowski | 17 | 26 | 9 |
Nick Smith | 7 | 16 | 9 |
Taylor Hendricks | 8 | 17 | 9 |
Keyonte George | 7 | 15 | 8 |
Terquavion Smith | 22 | 29 | 7 |
Anthony Black | 7 | 13 | 6 |
Gradey Dick | 6 | 12 | 6 |
Jarace Walker | 4 | 9 | 5 |
Cam Whitmore | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Cason Wallace | 10 | 14 | 4 |
Ausar Thompson | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Amen Thompson | 3 | 5 | 2 |
Brandon Miller | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Scoot Henderson | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Victor Wembanyama | 1 | 1 | 0 |
References:
The Athletic [Sam Vecenie]
SB Nation [Ricky O’Donnell]
The Ringer [Kevin O’Connor] – 3/9 and 3/23
USA Today [Bryan Kalbrosky]
ESPN/Draft Express [Jonathan Givony]
Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 3/1
Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 3/15
Search #mockdraftcomp on Twitter for all past Tweets
Potential Movement of Draft Order (via Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express)
- Charlotte’s first-rounder is owned by Atlanta if Charlotte’s pick falls between No. 17 and 30 in 2023. If Charlotte’s pick finishes between 1-16, Atlanta will instead receive Charlotte’s 2024 first-rounder, lottery-protected.
- On draft night, Charlotte scored a protected top-14 protected first-rounder from Denver via Oklahoma City and New York in a three-way trade.
- Houston has first-round swap rights with Brooklyn.
- Houston owns Milwaukee’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
- Brooklyn owns Philadelphia’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
- Chicago’s first-rounder is owned by Orlando if Chicago’s pick falls between 5 and 30 in 2023. If Chicago’s pick finishes between 1-4, Orlando will instead receive Chicago’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-3.
- Portland’s first-rounder is owned by Chicago if Portland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Portland misses the playoffs as expected, Chicago will instead receive Portland’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
- Cleveland’s first-rounder is owned by Indiana if Cleveland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Cleveland misses the playoffs, Indiana will instead receive Cleveland’s 2025 second-round pick and the Lakers’ 2026 second-round pick.
- Dallas’ first-rounder is owned by New York if Dallas’ pick falls between 11 and 30 in 2023. If Dallas’ pick finishes between 1-10, New York will instead receive Dallas’ 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-10.
- Denver’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Denver’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Denver misses the playoffs, Oklahoma City will instead receive Denver’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
- Detroit’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Detroit’s pick falls between 19 and 30 in 2023. If Detroit’s pick falls between 1-18, Oklahoma City will instead receive Detroit’s 2024 first-rounder, again protected for picks 1-18.
- Oklahoma City has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Clippers.
- New Orleans has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Lakers.
- On draft night, New York gained two protected first-round picks, both via Oklahoma City: a top-14 protected originally from Washington, and a top-18 protected originally from Detroit.
- Washington’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Washington’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Washington’s pick finishes between 1-14, Oklahoma City will instead receive Washington’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-12.

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Other NBA Draft consumables for your reading pleasure:
[NBA Draft]: 2023 Big Board Comparison, December 2022 (updated 1/8)
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[NBA Draft]: 2023 Mock Draft Comparison, Oct/Nov/Dec 2022
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[NBA Draft]: Comparison of Actual 2022 Draft vs. Final Mock Drafts
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