[NBA Draft]: 2023 Mock Draft Comparison, March (updated 3/28)

Note: If the table is not loading correctly on your mobile device via Twitter, then copy and paste this link in your browser and view the post on my site at https://hoopsdistillery.com/mockdraftcomp-mar23/.

3/28 update: Two new mock drafts added today–2nd update this month from Kevin O’Connor/The Ringer, as well as Sam Vecenie/The Athletic. KOC has moved up Taylor Hendricks to #8 pick to the Wizards, while Vecenie has him going at #9 to the Magic. Other notable picks include KOC with Noah Clowney going #14 to the Lakers, and Vecenie with Jordan Hawkins going #12 to OKC and Dereck Lively going #14 to the Lakers.

I also re-updated the pick variance chart, and as you’ll see, variance for many prospects increased with opinions shifting from the start to the end of the month.


3/17 update: Updated mock drafts this week from Tankathon, Ricky O’Donnell/SB Nation, and Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report. I also added my updated mock draft to the mix, with both Thompson twins going to the Magic (we all know John Hammond wants this!). Wasserman has Taylor Hendricks all the way up at #10 and Kobe Bufkin at #14 in his updated mock. Lots of buzz this week about Brandon Miller overtaking Scoot for the #2 pick, but Scoot is still at #2 across the board. Interestingly, O’Donnell has Amen Thompson going #3 and Brandon Miller #4 (similar to Kalbrosky’s mock). Time to let all of this marinate while watching another great day of March Madness from 12 to 12. Oddly, across the four new mocks, only Wasserman has Kobe Bufkin in the 1st round, up at #14 to Toronto.

I also added our pick variance chart for March. Pretty easy to see that there is a decent amount of consensus across our mock drafts for the guys who will go in the lottery, but lots of disagreement about who goes where in the 15 to 30 range. Jett Howard is mocked to go anywhere from 12 to 28, while Jalen Hood-Schifino has a wide range from 12 to 27.


March has arrived, and with it, a new batch of mock drafts to compare and analyze including picks from Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express, Kevin O’Connor/The Ringer, Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, and Bryan Kalbrosky/USA Today. With the college season, OTE and G League winding down, there’s been quite a bit of movement. Jalen Hood-Schifino is now considered a late lottery pick across the board after playing some very impressive games as part of a late season run for Indiana. Sidy Cissoko and Leonard Miller are also gaining a bit of momentum, moving into the 20’s on a few of these new mocks. Meanwhile, Maxwell Lewis and Terquavion Smith have dropped to the mid-to-late 20’s for most, with some uninspiring play as of late. Also notable, Wasserman and Givony seem to be cooling on GG Jackson, who they now have in the 20’s.

There have been some really entertaining draft discussions on podcasts over the past couple of weeks including:

The Ringer NBA Draft Show – 3/8 episode: Top-10 NBA Mock Draft

The Box and One podcast/YouTube channel – 3/6 : Mock Draft 2.0

Game Theory podcast – 3/9 episode: NBA Draft comparison battles

Locked On NBA Big Board – 3/7 episode: Does the Ja Morant situation impact how teams will evaluate prospects and their friends?

Also, don’t miss these great pieces:

Tyler Rucker/No Ceilings: “It’s Overthinking Season

Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report: Biggest Red Flags for Projected 2023 NBA Draft Lottery Picks

There will be more mock drafts added this month, so make sure to check back for updates and follow me at @hoopsdistillery on Twitter for update notifications. Also, if I’m missing any mock drafts that you feel belong alongside the ‘All-NBA level’ draft analysts I currently include, leave a comment or DM me on Twitter.

The Athletic
(3/28)
The Ringer
(3/23)
SB Nation
(3/16)
Hoops
Distillery
(3/14)
Tankathon
(3/15)
B/R
(3/15)
ESPN
(3/9)
The Ringer
(3/9)
USA Today
(3/6)
B/R
(3/1)
1. DETVictor
Wembanyama
1. PORVictor
Wembanyama
1. SASVictor
Wembanyama
1. DETVictor
Wembanyama
1. DETVictor
Wembanyama
1. DETVictor
Wembanyama
1. DETVictor
Wembanyama
1. SASVictor
Wembanyama
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
1. HOUVictor
Wembanyama
2. HOUScoot
Henderson
2. INDBrandon
Miller
2. ORLScoot
Henderson
2. HOUScoot
Henderson 
2. HOUScoot
Henderson
2. HOUScoot
Henderson
2. HOUScoot
Henderson 
2. CHIScoot
Henderson 
2. DETScoot
Henderson 
2. SASScoot
Henderson 
3. SASBrandon
Miller
3. HOUScoot
Henderson
3. CHAAmen
Thompson
3. SASBrandon
Miller
3. SASBrandon
Miller
3. SASBrandon
Miller
3. SASBrandon
Miller
3. DETBrandon
Miller
3. SASAmen
Thompson
3. DETAmen
Thompson
4. CHAAmen
Thompson
4. SASAmen
Thompson
4. PORBrandon
Miller
4. CHAJarace
Walker
4. CHAAmen
Thompson
4. CHAAmen
Thompson
4. CHAAmen
Thompson
4. WASAmen
Thompson
4. CHABrandon
Miller
4. CHABrandon
Miller
5. ORL Cam
Whitmore
5. DETCam
Whitmore
5. DETCam
Whitmore
5. ORLAmen
Thompson
5. ORLAusar
Thompson
5. ORLJarace
Walker
5. ORLAusar
Thompson
5. HOUJarace
Walker
5. ORLCam
Whitmore
5. ORLJarace
Walker
6. WASAusar
Thompson
6. CHAJarace
Walker
6. HOUAusar
Thompson
6. PORGradey
Dick
6. PORJarace
Walker
6. INDAusar
Thompson
6. INDJarace
Walker
6. CHAAusar
Thompson
6. INDAusar
Thompson
6. INDNick
Smith 
7. PORAnthony
Black
7. ORL Ausar
Thompson
7. INDJarace
Walker
7. ORLAusar
Thompson
7. INDCam
Whitmore
7. WASCam
Whitmore
7. UTANick
Smith 
7. ORLKeyonte
George
7. OKCAnthony
Black
7. ORLGradey
Dick
8. INDJarace
Walker
8. WASTaylor
Hendricks
8. WASNick
Smith
8. INDAnthony
Black
8. ORLGradey
Dick
8. PORGradey
Dick
8. OKCCam
Whitmore
8. INDCam
Whitmore
8. ORLNick
Smith 
8. OKCCam
Whitmore
9. ORLTaylor
Hendricks
9. ORLGradey
Dick
9. ORLGradey
Dick
9. WASCam
Whitmore
9. WASNick
Smith
9. ORLNick
Smith
9. ORLKeyonte
George
9. UTAAnthony
Black
9. PORJarace
Walker
9. WASAusar
Thompson
10. TORCason
Wallace
10. TORNick
Smith
10. TORCason
Wallace
10. NOPCason
Wallace
10. NOPAnthony
Black
10. TORTaylor
Hendricks
10. PORAnthony
Black
10. NOPGradey
Dick
10. WASKeyonte
George
10. PORAnthony
Black
11. UTAGradey
Dick
11. UTAKeyonte
George
11. UTAKeyonte
George
11. UTANick
Smith 
11. UTAKeyonte
George
11. UTAAnthony
Black
11. WASGradey
Dick
11. PORCason
Wallace
11. NOPCason
Wallace
11. NOPTaylor
Hendricks
12. OKCJordan
Hawkins
12. NOPAnthony
Black
12. NOPJett
Howard
12. OKCRayan
Rupert
12. TORBrice
Sensabaugh
12. LALKeyonte
George
12. NOPJalen
Hood-Schifino
12. OKCNick
Smith 
12. UTAGradey
Dick
12. TORKeyonte
George
13. NOPJalen
Hood-Schifino
13. NYKCason
Wallace
13. LALAnthony
Black
13. LALKeyonte
George
13. LALTaylor
Hendricks
13. NOPCason
Wallace
13. LALCason
Wallace
13. TORJalen
Hood-Schifino
13. LALBrice
Sensabaugh
13. LALCason
Wallace
14. LALDereck
Lively
14. LALNoah
Clowney
14. OKCRayan
Rupert
14. TORTaylor
Hendricks
14. OKCCason
Wallace
14. OKCKobe
Bufkin
14. ATLTaylor
Hendricks
14. LALTaylor
Hendricks
14. TORGG
Jackson
14. UTAJalen
Hood-Schifino
15. NYKKeyonte
George
15. ATLJett
Howard
15. NYKMaxwell
Lewis
15. ATLBrice
Sensabaugh
15. ATLJett
Howard
15. NYKJett
Howard
15. TORJett
Howard
15. ATLKris
Murray
15. ATLJalen
Hood-Schifino
15. UTAJett
Howard
16. ATLNick
Smith
16. UTAJalen
Hood-Schifino
16. ATLTaylor
Hendricks
16. UTAJett
Howard
16. UTAJalen
Hood-Schifino
16. ATLKris
Murray
16. UTARayan
Rupert
16. UTAGG
Jackson
16. UTAJordan
Hawkins
16. GSWKris
Murray
17. UTALeonard
Miller
17. OKCBrice
Sensabaugh
17. UTAKyle
Filipowski
17. NYKKris
Murray
17. NYKKris
Murray
17. UTAKyle
Filipowski
17. MIAKyle
Filipowski
17. HOUJett
Howard
17. NYKTaylor
Hendricks
17. ATLBrice
Sensabaugh
18. GSWKyle
Filipowski
18. GSWRayan
Rupert
18. GSWDariq
Whitehead
18. GSWKobe
Bufkin
18. GSWDereck
Lively
18. GSWColby
Jones
18. GSWBrice
Sensabaugh
18. GSWDereck
Lively
18. HOULeonard
Miller
18. NYKDariq
Whitehead
19. HOUBrice
Sensabaugh
19. HOUDereck
Lively
19. HOUKris
Murray
19. HOUDereck
Lively
19. HOURayan
Rupert
19. HOURayan
Rupert
19. NYKKris
Murray
19. NYKJordan
Hawkins
19. GSWColby
Jones
19. HOURayan
Rupert
20. BKNKris
Murray
20. BKNJordan
Hawkins
20. MIABrice
Sensabaugh
20. MIADariq
Whitehead
20. MIAJordan
Hawkins
20. MIABrice
Sensabaugh
20. HOUDereck
Lively
20. MIARayan
Rupert
20. MIADereck
Lively
20. MIABrandin
Podziemski 
21. BKNKobe
Bufkin
21. MIAKyle
Filipowski
21. BKNGG
Jackson
21. BKNJalen
Hood-Schifino
21. BKNKyle
Filipowski
21. BKNGG
Jackson
21. BKNKobe
Bufkin
21. BKNKyle
Filipowski
21. BKNKris
Murray
21. BKNGG
Jackson
22. MIADariq
Whitehead
22. BKNGG
Jackson
22. PORKel'el
Ware
22. BKNGG
Jackson
22. BKNGG
Jackson
22. PORDariq
Whitehead
22. BKNLeonard
Miller
22. BKNSidy
Cissoko
22. BKNTerquavion
Smith
22. PORKobe
Bufkin
23. PORRayan
Rupert
23. PORColby
Jones
23. BKNColby
Jones
23. PORNoah
Clowney
23. PORMaxwell
Lewis
23. BKNJalen
Hood-Schifino
23. SACJordan
Hawkins
23. PORJames
Nnaji
23. PORDaRon
Holmes
23. BKNJordan
Hawkins
24. SACJett
Howard
24. SACKris
Murray
24. SACNoah
Clowney
24. MEMSidy
Cissoko
24. MEMColby
Jones
24. MEMDereck
Lively
24. MEMMaxwell
Lewis
24. MEMBrice
Sensabaugh
24. SACMaxwell
Lewis
24. SACBilal
Coulibaly
25. MEMNoah
Clowney
25. INDMaxwell
Lewis
25. MEMLeonard
Miller
25. SACColby
Jones
25. SACTerquavion
Smith
25. SACBrandin
Podziemski
25. PORJames
Nnaji
25. SACMaxwell
Lewis
25. INDBrandin
Podziemski 
25. INDMaxwell
Lewis
26. INDGG
Jackson
26. MEMSidy
Cissoko
26. INDTerquavion
Smith
26. INDKyle
Filipowski
26. INDLeonard
Miller
26. INDTrayce
Jackson Davis
26. INDColby
Jones
26. INDDariq
Whitehead
26. MEMSidy
Cissoko
26. MEMJulian
Strawther
27. CHAJulian
Strawther
27. CHADariq
Whitehead
27. UTAJalen
Hood-Schifino
27. CHAMaxwell
Lewis
27. CHADariq
Whitehead
27. CHAMaxwell
Lewis
27. UTAGG
Jackson
27. UTAColby
Jones
27. UTAMarcus
Sasser
27. UTARicky
Council
28. UTAMaxwell
Lewis
28. UTALeonard
Miller
28. CHAKobe
Bufkin
28. UTAJulian
Phillips
28. UTABilal
Coulibaly
28. UTANoah
Clowney
28. INDNoah
Clowney
28. INDJulian
Phillips
28. CHAJett
Howard
28. CHAKyle
Filipowski
29. INDColby
Jones
29. IND Julian
Phillips
29. INDDereck
Lively
29. INDJordan
Hawkins
29. INDMarcus
Sasser
29. INDBilal
Coulibaly
29. CHADariq
Whitehead
29. CHATerquavion
Smith
29. LACJulian
Strawther
29. LACDereck
Lively
30. LACMarcus
Sasser
30. LACJaime
Jaquez
30. LACTerrence
Shannon
30. LACLeonard
Miller
30. LACJames
Nnaji
30. LACJulian
Strawther
30. LACTrayce
Jackson-Davis
30. LACTrayce
Jackson-Davis
30. INDJaime
Jaquez
30. INDTerquavion
Smith

PickHighLowVariance
Jordan
Hawkins
122917
Jett
Howard
122816
Dereck
Lively
142915
Jalen
Hood-Schifino
122715
Kobe
Bufkin
142814
Noah
Clowney
142814
Leonard
Miller
173013
Brice
Sensabaugh
122412
GG
Jackson
142612
Maxwell
Lewis
152712
Colby
Jones
182911
Dariq
Whitehead
182911
Rayan
Rupert
122311
Kris
Murray
15249
Kyle
Filipowski
17269
Nick
Smith 
7169
Taylor
Hendricks
8179
Keyonte
George
7158
Terquavion
Smith
22297
Anthony
Black
7136
Gradey
Dick
6126
Jarace
Walker
495
Cam
Whitmore
594
Cason
Wallace
10144
Ausar
Thompson
573
Amen
Thompson
352
Brandon
Miller
242
Scoot
Henderson 
220
Victor
Wembanyama
110

References:

The Athletic [Sam Vecenie]

SB Nation [Ricky O’Donnell]

Tankathon

The Ringer [Kevin O’Connor] – 3/9 and 3/23

USA Today [Bryan Kalbrosky]

ESPN/Draft Express [Jonathan Givony]

Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 3/1

Bleacher Report [Jonathan Wasserman] – 3/15

Search #mockdraftcomp on Twitter for all past Tweets


Potential Movement of Draft Order (via Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express)

  • Charlotte’s first-rounder is owned by Atlanta if Charlotte’s pick falls between No. 17 and 30 in 2023. If Charlotte’s pick finishes between 1-16, Atlanta will instead receive Charlotte’s 2024 first-rounder, lottery-protected.
  • On draft night, Charlotte scored a protected top-14 protected first-rounder from Denver via Oklahoma City and New York in a three-way trade.
  • Houston has first-round swap rights with Brooklyn.
  • Houston owns Milwaukee’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
  • Brooklyn owns Philadelphia’s first-rounder, which is unprotected.
  • Chicago’s first-rounder is owned by Orlando if Chicago’s pick falls between 5 and 30 in 2023. If Chicago’s pick finishes between 1-4, Orlando will instead receive Chicago’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-3.
  • Portland’s first-rounder is owned by Chicago if Portland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Portland misses the playoffs as expected, Chicago will instead receive Portland’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
  • Cleveland’s first-rounder is owned by Indiana if Cleveland’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Cleveland misses the playoffs, Indiana will instead receive Cleveland’s 2025 second-round pick and the Lakers’ 2026 second-round pick.
  • Dallas’ first-rounder is owned by New York if Dallas’ pick falls between 11 and 30 in 2023. If Dallas’ pick finishes between 1-10, New York will instead receive Dallas’ 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-10.
  • Denver’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Denver’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Denver misses the playoffs, Oklahoma City will instead receive Denver’s 2024 first-rounder, again lottery-protected.
  • Detroit’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Detroit’s pick falls between 19 and 30 in 2023. If Detroit’s pick falls between 1-18, Oklahoma City will instead receive Detroit’s 2024 first-rounder, again protected for picks 1-18.
  • Oklahoma City has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Clippers.
  • New Orleans has first-round swap rights with the Los Angeles Lakers.
  • On draft night, New York gained two protected first-round picks, both via Oklahoma City: a top-14 protected originally from Washington, and a top-18 protected originally from Detroit.
  • Washington’s first-rounder is owned by Oklahoma City if Washington’s pick falls between 15 and 30 in 2023. If Washington’s pick finishes between 1-14, Oklahoma City will instead receive Washington’s 2024 first-rounder, protected for picks 1-12.

****************************************************************

Other NBA Draft consumables for your reading pleasure:

[NBA Draft]: 2023 Big Board Comparison, December 2022 (updated 1/8)

We finally have a few 2023 big boards to stack up against each other. So, here’s our first #bigboardcomp of the year featuring boards from Sam Vecenie/The Athletic, Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, Jonathan Givony/ESPN-Draft Express and Tankathon.

[NBA Draft]: 2023 Mock Draft Comparison, Oct/Nov/Dec 2022

Some fresh picks to compare from Jeremy Woo/SI, Jonathan Wasserman/Bleacher Report, ESPN-Draft Express/Jonathan Givony, Sam Vecenie/The Athletic, and Tankathon. Wemby + Scoot we know, but then what…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *